Once you sift through all the sales propaganda at the top of the page, Steve Merril over at Expert Covers offers one of his free picks for today's MLB games -- St. Louis Cardinals @ Toronto Blue Jays Jun 22, 2010 7:07PM.

Steve recommends picking the UNDER with the line at 7.5 total runs. And he provides some pretty rock-solid reasons:

1. Toronto is only batting .199 as a team against lefties. That's well-below the dreaded Mendoza Line. And, unfortunately for the Jays, Jaime Garcia is whirling on the hill tonight.
2. Garcia has gone UNDER in 12 of his 13 starts!
3. The Cardinals have gone UNDER in 20 of their 34 road games.

Those are some pretty darn good reasons to pick UNDER.

Unless you're some sort of freak savant, you better listen to Steve.

So which way are you going?

Pick: Under.

MLB Picks via [Expert Covers]